Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:00:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

49
0x4941…55d0
crypto · 64 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$432 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$417 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$43
Realized−$417
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses36 / 26
Open positions2
Markets (closed)62 / 64
History coverage6d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day60.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 62 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$354
7 days−$417
14 days−$417
30 days−$417
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Up 51¢ 49¢ $28 $27 −$1 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 13¢ 16¢ $13 $16 +$2 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$18 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$31 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $126 −$54 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $203 −$172 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $233 +$27 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$18 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$28 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$20 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$29 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$23 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $212 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $103 −$31 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $72 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $122 −$47 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $102 +$20 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$18 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$7 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET Jun 10 $75 +$13 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET Jun 10 $108 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $31 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $99 −$87 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $74 +$23 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $57 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $52 +$9 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $51 +$7 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $54 −$39 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 09 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 08 $4 −$3 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $70 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5AM ET Jun 08 $19 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 08 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 08 $53 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET Jun 08 $23 +$18 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 08 $33 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 08 $21 +$5 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$416
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $29 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $25 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $28 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $54 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $49 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $52 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-23.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -15.4% -23.5% 58% 44% -23.2%
≤30d 62 -15.4% -23.5% 58% 44% -23.2%
≤90d 62 -15.4% -23.5% 58% 44% -23.2%
all 62 -15.4% -23.5% 58% 44% -23.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.5% 44% -23.2%
10% ← realistic here -30.8% 23% -30.5%
15% -37.5% 6% -37.3%
20% -43.6% 5% -43.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $42.94 · official $42.94 (match) · 378 history records