Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:46:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

49
0x4918…76c1
crypto · 86 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$31 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses50 / 36
Open positions0
Markets (closed)86 / 86
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day87.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 86 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$31
7 days−$31
14 days−$31
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $7 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -8.4% -17.1% 58% 55% -15.6%
≤30d 86 -8.4% -17.1% 58% 55% -15.6%
≤90d 86 -8.4% -17.1% 58% 55% -15.6%
all 86 -8.4% -17.1% 58% 55% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover87.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.1% 55% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -25.0% 53% -23.7%
15% -32.3% 45% -31.1%
20% -38.9% 36% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 137 history records