trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -15.7% | -23.7% | 0% | 0% | -24.4% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +1.3% | -8.3% | 43% | 29% | -5.5% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -19.2% | -26.9% | 27% | 20% | -9.4% |
| all | 15 | -19.2% | -26.9% | 27% | 20% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.9% | 20% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -33.9% | 20% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -40.2% | 20% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -46.1% | 7% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup | Jun 21 | $261 | −$25 | -10% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $334 | −$72 | -22% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $239 | +$96 | +40% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 08 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 08 | $330 | +$372 | +112% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 23 | $540 | −$80 | -15% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 22 | $233 | +$7 | +3% |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) | May 21 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 16 | $3 | $0 | -6% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 11 | $118 | +$56 | +48% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | May 10 | $14 | −$2 | -12% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 06 | $3 | −$1 | -26% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | May 05 | $91 | −$90 | -99% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 04 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | May 04 | $126 | −$1 | -0% |