Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:06:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

48
0x48f7…3f56
crypto · 1363 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$294 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$294 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$294
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses1099 / 266
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1365 / 1363
History coverage72d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day24.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1365 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$19
14 days−$19
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +308%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +147%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +266%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +130%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +252%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +296%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +390%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$284
sports 1% −$15
other 0% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -14.4% -22.6% 20% 20% -22.5%
≤30d 93 -14.4% -22.6% 20% 20% -22.5%
≤90d 1365 -3.8% -13.0% 81% 28% -12.3%
all 1365 -3.8% -13.0% 81% 28% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 28% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 2% -20.7%
15% -28.9% 2% -28.3%
20% -35.9% 2% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records