trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 62% | 0% | -8.9% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 62% | 0% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 62% | 0% | -8.9% |
| all | 22 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 59% | 0% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 0% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 0% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $46 | $46 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $84 | +$2 | +2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 14 | $40 | $0 | +1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 14 | $63 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Jun 08 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Dec 14 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 26 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | Apr 06 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 05 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election? | Apr 03 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the AFD be part of the next German government? | Apr 02 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days? | Apr 01 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 31 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 21-28? | Mar 25 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 21 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 20 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | Mar 11 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 11 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16? | Mar 10 | $14 | $0 | +0% |