trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 24 | -18.2% | -26.0% | 42% | 42% | +17.8% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -12.9% | -21.2% | 44% | 44% | +21.1% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -16.3% | -24.3% | 42% | 42% | +21.1% |
| all | 30 | -21.8% | -29.2% | 37% | 37% | +20.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.2% | 37% | +20.5% |
| 10% | -36.0% | 30% | +9.0% |
| 15% | -42.2% | 27% | -1.5% |
| 20% | -47.9% | 27% | -11.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Austria | 44¢ | 44¢ | $100 | $101 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-9%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-14%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $36 | +$7 | +18% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $30 | +$20 | +67% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $73 | +$102 | +140% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $99 | −$99 | -100% |
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5 | Jun 16 | $63 | −$63 | -100% |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $48 | +$14 | +29% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $114 | −$114 | -100% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $68 | +$81 | +119% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $37 | −$37 | -99% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $29 | −$1 | -2% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 | Jun 15 | $100 | +$13 | +13% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 26? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $114 | −$92 | -81% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 14 | $105 | −$105 | -100% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $691 | +$888 | +128% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 11 | $146 | +$107 | +73% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $99 | −$61 | -62% |
| Spread: Spurs (-20.5) | Jun 11 | $55 | +$53 | +96% |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | Jun 11 | $21 | −$11 | -56% |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | Jun 11 | $73 | +$58 | +80% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $99 | +$113 | +114% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | Mar 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 18? | Mar 18 | $6 | −$5 | -87% |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Mar 17 | $8 | −$2 | -21% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 17? | Mar 17 | $1 | $0 | -48% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on March 17? | Mar 17 | $1 | −$1 | -75% |