Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:23:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

48
0x48ea…3e30
crypto · 72 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$8,868 +38%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8,549 · open −$19
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$717
Realized+$8,549
Unrealized−$19
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses272 / 274
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Open positions8
Markets (closed)546 / 72
Avg bet$322
Trades / day3379.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 546 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8,549
7 days+$8,549
14 days+$8,549
30 days+$8,549
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Up 44¢ 46¢ $114 $120 +$6 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Down 51¢ 54¢ $111 $116 +$5 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 55¢ 64¢ $90 $104 +$13 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Up 81¢ 90¢ $87 $96 +$9 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 55¢ 64¢ $78 $91 +$13 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 39¢ 36¢ $43 $40 −$3 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 42¢ 36¢ $45 $39 −$6 (-13%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 59¢ 84¢ $27 $37 +$11 (+41%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 75¢ 72¢ $23 $22 −$1 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Down 14¢ 10¢ $18 $14 −$4 (-23%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Up 41¢ 47¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+15%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 27¢ 28¢ $7 $8 +$0 (+3%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 44¢ 16¢ $19 $7 −$12 (-62%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Down 60¢ 53¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-11%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 21¢ 30¢ $3 $5 +$1 (+39%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 38¢ 70¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+83%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $114 $0 −$114 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$123 -34542%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$63 -176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $114 +$30 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$75 +438%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$23 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$160 +863%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$21 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$120 +568%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$86 -594%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$14 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $133 −$221 -166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $107 −$197 -184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $75 −$115 -154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$27 +358%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$192 +1614%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$4 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$112 -1245%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$151 -7631%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$40 +1445%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$54 +2138%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$44 +195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$99 +561%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$67 +349%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$24 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$58 +219%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$141 +1123%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$66 +209755%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$187 +530%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$32 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$165 +721%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$76 +7096%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$15 +97%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$24 +213%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$97 +532%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$20 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$40 +606%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $105 +$25 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$66 -134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$49 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$79 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$58 +327%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $44 +$29 +64%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$327
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $22 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $27 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $24 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $17 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $8 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $32 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $22 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $27 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $20 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+295.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 546 +336.7% +295.1% 50% 44% +8.0%
≤30d 546 +336.7% +295.1% 50% 44% +8.0%
≤90d 546 +336.7% +295.1% 50% 44% +8.0%
all 546 +336.7% +295.1% 50% 44% +8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3379.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +295.1% 44% +8.0%
10% ← realistic here +257.3% 42% -2.4%
15% +222.8% 41% -11.8%
20% +191.1% 40% -20.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $716.74 · official $702.38 · 3500 history records