Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:26:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

48
0x48e8…28a5
crypto · 674 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$1,497 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$799 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$799
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses636 / 38
Whale WR (big bets)93%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)674 / 674
History coverage39d
Avg bet$428
Trades / day19.8
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 674 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$143
7 days+$324
14 days+$534
30 days+$245
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $301 +$9 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $301 +$8 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $300 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $301 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $301 +$21 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $301 +$17 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $301 +$9 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $302 +$23 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $301 +$9 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $300 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $401 +$11 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $300 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $300 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $400 +$4 +1%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $400 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $400 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $401 +$8 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 11 $401 +$8 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $355 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 10 $400 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 10 $400 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 10 $400 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $400 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 10 $401 +$13 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 09 $401 +$8 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 09 $400 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 09 $400 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 09 $400 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 09 $400 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 09 $401 +$12 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 09 $400 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 09 $400 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 09 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $301 +$12 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 09 $301 +$12 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 08 $300 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 08 $301 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 08 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 08 $300 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 08 $301 +$12 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 08 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 08 $301 +$9 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 08 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 08 $300 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 07 $300 +$5 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$796
sports 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $301 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $301 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $300 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $300 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $303 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $301 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $301 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $301 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $301 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $300 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $300 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $302 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $301 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $300 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $401 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $300 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $300 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $200 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $400 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 43¢ $13 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $400 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $400 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $401 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $401 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $355 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $400 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $400 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $400 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $400 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 +2.6% -7.2% 100% 2% -7.7%
≤30d 471 +0.7% -8.9% 94% 2% -9.4%
≤90d 674 +0.7% -8.9% 94% 2% -9.3%
all 674 +0.7% -8.9% 94% 2% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.9% 2% -9.3%
10% -17.6% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.6% 0% -25.9%
20% -32.9% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1656 history records