Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:08:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

48
0x48cc…6bc3
crypto · 849 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,230 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,232 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$4,232
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses420 / 427
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)847 / 849
History coverage8d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day200.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 847 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$43
7 days−$2,027
14 days−$4,232
30 days−$4,232
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 70¢ 84¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+21%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 77¢ 90¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+16%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +129%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$4,221
sports 0% −$10
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 636 -5.8% -14.8% 50% 50% -21.9%
≤30d 847 -9.1% -17.7% 50% 49% -24.2%
≤90d 847 -9.1% -17.7% 50% 49% -24.2%
all 847 -9.1% -17.7% 50% 49% -24.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover200.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 49% -24.2%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 48% -31.5%
15% -32.8% 46% -38.1%
20% -39.4% 42% -44.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.85 · official $11.72 (match) · 2060 history records