Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:22:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

48
0x48c3…0701
sports · 1101 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$271 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$270 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$270
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses495 / 603
Est. fees paid−$57
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1098 / 1101
History coverage55d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day45.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 3 History 1098 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$29
14 days−$51
30 days−$275
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Morocco 87¢ 86¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Qatar 48¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Spread: Kosovo (-1.5) Andorra 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 4.5 Over 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Slovakia vs. Montenegro end in a draw? No 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05? No 15¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India India 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Valencia vs. Joventut Joventut 29¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-05-28? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 5.5 Over 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Chile leading at halftime? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 Under 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs against All authority (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage against All authority 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Andorra win on 2026-06-07? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Belgium leading at halftime? No 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
CD La Serena vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5 Under 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5 Over 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MIBR 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-05-22? No 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Armenia vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? No 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
CD Universidad Católica vs. CSD Colo-Colo: O/U 3.5 Over 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5 Under 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 1.5 Under 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil leading at halftime? Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $6 −$1 -13%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 −$2 -43%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $9 +$5 +56%
Will Galway United FC win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Will Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 −$2 -41%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 -5%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$4 -37%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 11 $5 $0 -8%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
South Africa leading at halftime? Jun 11 $5 $0 -2%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $10 $0 -5%
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $4 $0 -3%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $5 $0 -4%
Valencia vs. Joventut Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $5 $0 -4%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 10 $32 −$1 -4%
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $4 $0 -0%
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) Jun 10 $4 $0 -1%
Orebro SK vs. GIF Sundsvall: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $3 $0 -3%
ITF Zagreb: Adrienn Nagy vs Eszter Meri Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 10 $1 $0 -4%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $5 $0 +3%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Spread: Hungary (-1.5) Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? Jun 09 $2 $0 -2%
Will Moldova win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
ITF Wuning: Kyoka Okamura vs Hiromi Abe Jun 09 $1 $0 +4%
Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $5 −$3 -53%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom Jun 08 $3 $0 -6%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 08 $4 +$1 +20%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? Jun 08 $5 $0 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 64% −$157
other 19% −$32
crypto 11% −$98
politics 3% −$9
world 2% +$19
economics 1% −$1
tech 1% +$4
finance 0% +$4
culture 0% +$1
weather 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 35m
Brazil leading at halftime? SELL No 57¢ $5 38m
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Morocco 87¢ $5 53m
Spread: Canada (-2.5) SELL Canada 29¢ $0 57m
Spread: Canada (-2.5) SELL Canada 29¢ $2 57m
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Qatar 48¢ $5 1h
Spread: Canada (-2.5) BUY Canada 28¢ $2 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 72¢ $6 1h
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona SELL Barcelona 50¢ $3 1h
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona SELL Barcelona 55¢ $2 1h
Brazil leading at halftime? BUY No 57¢ $5 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 66¢ $5 1h
Switzerland leading at halftime? SELL No 38¢ $2 1h
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona BUY Barcelona 52¢ $5 1h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY No 37¢ $2 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 63¢ $5 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 63¢ $5 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? SELL No 83¢ $5 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY No 83¢ $5 3h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 3h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 3h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) SELL Canada 87¢ $5 24h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL No 31¢ $3 24h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Canada 88¢ $5 24h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 41¢ $10 24h
Will Galway United FC win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 68¢ $0 24h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? SELL No 77¢ $5 24h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? BUY No 75¢ $5 24h
Will Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC end in a draw? SELL No 87¢ $4 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 -10.7% -19.2% 41% 6% -17.1%
≤30d 383 -32.7% -39.1% 30% 5% -24.1%
≤90d 1098 -5.8% -14.8% 45% 31% -14.9%
all 1098 -5.8% -14.8% 45% 31% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 31% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 25% -23.0%
15% -30.4% 21% -30.4%
20% -37.2% 17% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.67 · official $14.67 (match) · 3500 history records