Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:17:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

48
0x48ba…d55f
crypto · 315 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$399 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$399 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$399
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses296 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)315 / 315
History coverage4d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day149.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 315 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$78
7 days−$399
14 days−$399
30 days−$399
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $89 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $112 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $89 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $59 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $59 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $43 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $58 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $95 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $58 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $114 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $86 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $58 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $78 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $43 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $74 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $97 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $77 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $55 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $47 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$398
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $13 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $23 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $29 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $29 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $29 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 315 -1.9% -11.3% 94% 3% -12.0%
≤30d 315 -1.9% -11.3% 94% 3% -12.0%
≤90d 315 -1.9% -11.3% 94% 3% -12.0%
all 315 -1.9% -11.3% 94% 3% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover149.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 3% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 0% -20.4%
15% -27.5% 0% -28.1%
20% -34.6% 0% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 887 history records