Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:09:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

48
0x48b7…d9f3
crypto · 431 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$5 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses345 / 86
Open positions0
Markets (closed)431 / 431
History coverage86d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day6.8
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 431 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$2
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 33h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 34h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 267 -3.8% -12.9% 75% 16% -9.3%
≤30d 424 -2.2% -11.5% 80% 15% -9.1%
≤90d 431 -2.4% -11.7% 80% 15% -9.2%
all 431 -2.4% -11.7% 80% 15% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.7% 15% -9.2%
10% -20.1% 9% -17.9%
15% -27.8% 6% -25.8%
20% -34.9% 5% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 976 history records