Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:58:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

48
0x48ac…4a7e
crypto · 52 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$459 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$524 · open −$65
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$967
Realized+$524
Unrealized−$65
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses29 / 19
Open positions4
Markets (closed)48 / 52
History coverage1d
Avg bet$237
Trades / day3452.0
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 48 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$524
7 days+$524
14 days+$524
30 days+$524
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 39¢ 50¢ $278 $352 +$75 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 59¢ 50¢ $372 $319 −$52 (-14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 58¢ 68¢ $61 $71 +$10 (+17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 60¢ 60¢ $63 $63 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 39¢ 40¢ $57 $59 +$2 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 43¢ 32¢ $56 $42 −$13 (-24%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 36¢ 40¢ $29 $32 +$3 (+9%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 63¢ 60¢ $30 $28 −$1 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $491 −$87 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $88 −$13 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $457 −$13 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $176 +$5 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$9 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $171 +$16 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $607 −$46 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $374 +$34 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $311 +$15 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $131 −$13 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $96 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $208 −$9 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $487 +$53 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $348 +$23 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$1 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $101 −$9 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $309 +$60 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $925 −$196 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $209 −$86 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$32 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $215 −$7 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $57 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $145 +$12 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$15 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $337 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $245 +$20 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $877 +$40 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $176 +$32 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $93 +$42 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $115 +$34 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $319 +$69 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $276 +$29 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $98 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $359 +$143 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $245 +$19 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $118 +$26 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,080 −$241 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $150 −$19 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $220 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$427 +1186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $89 +$78 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$80 +855%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$5 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$459
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $7 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 0m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)+32.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 +46.2% +32.3% 60% 29% -5.4%
≤30d 48 +46.2% +32.3% 60% 29% -5.4%
≤90d 48 +46.2% +32.3% 60% 29% -5.4%
all 48 +46.2% +32.3% 60% 29% -5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3452.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +32.3% 29% -5.4%
10% ← realistic here +19.6% 15% -14.4%
15% +8.1% 10% -22.7%
20% -2.5% 6% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $967.41 · official $928.63 · 3500 history records