Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:15:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

48
0x48a0…7159
crypto · 14 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$5 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses11 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)14 / 14
History coverage1d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day23.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$11 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$6 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $41 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $6 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +4.7% -5.3% 79% 64% -5.9%
≤30d 14 +4.7% -5.3% 79% 64% -5.9%
≤90d 14 +4.7% -5.3% 79% 64% -5.9%
all 14 +4.7% -5.3% 79% 64% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.3% 64% -5.9%
10% ← realistic here -14.4% 43% -14.9%
15% -22.6% 21% -23.1%
20% -30.2% 7% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 35 history records