Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:12:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

48
0x489d…f6e3
sports · 164 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$28 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$32 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$224
Realized+$32
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses63 / 83
Est. fees paid−$156
Open positions18
Markets (closed)146 / 164
History coverage3d
Avg bet$59
Trades / day1033.8
Drawdown99%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 18 History 146 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$32
14 days+$32
30 days+$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 30¢ $145 $148 +$2 (+2%)
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $23 $24 +$1 (+5%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Robin Montgomery 70¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+43%)
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Andrea Guerrieri 59¢ 61¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+3%)
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Taro Daniel 57¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$2 (+74%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 81¢ 68¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 22¢ 19¢ $4 $4 −$1 (-12%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 68¢ 76¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+12%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 70¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+44%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Johan Alexander Rodriguez 33¢ 24¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-27%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 65¢ 69¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+6%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 53¢ 58¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+10%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 32¢ 50¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+57%)
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Adrian Mannarino 82¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Jana Kovackova Lucie Havlickova 76¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 13¢ 14¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Raul Brancaccio 35¢ 10¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-70%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Daria Snigur 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Felix Auger-Aliassime 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren August Holmgren 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Zhizhen Zhang 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $575 +$31 +5%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $46 $0 -1%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 12 $16 −$2 -12%
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 12 $21 −$2 -10%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $9 −$1 -9%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 12 $11 −$1 -5%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 12 $3 −$1 -20%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $5 −$1 -14%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 12 $17 −$2 -12%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $61 −$9 -15%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 12 $38 −$5 -13%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Joao Lucas Da Silva Jun 12 $129 +$5 +4%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 12 $10 −$2 -18%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 12 $14 −$7 -52%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $165 −$60 -36%
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 12 $15 −$1 -9%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $18 −$1 -3%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $2 −$1 -30%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $8 +$2 +24%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $65 +$3 +4%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $25 $0 -1%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $30 −$2 -8%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $8 −$1 -10%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $46 −$2 -5%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $9 −$3 -31%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $29 −$2 -6%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $46 $0 +0%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $21 $0 +0%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $16 +$1 +5%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $58 +$1 +1%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $24 $0 -1%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $28 −$3 -9%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $22 −$2 -7%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $7 $0 -3%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06- Jun 12 $10 +$27 +264%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $11 $0 -4%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Yuno Kitahara Jun 12 $1 $0 -53%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 11 $10 −$1 -14%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $47 +$8 +16%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $80 −$4 -6%
ITF Wichita: Blake Ellis vs Sebastian Gorzny Jun 11 $2 $0 -28%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $123 +$10 +8%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 11 $33 −$2 -6%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 11 $6 −$1 -20%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $129 +$17 +13%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 11 $4,244 +$48 +1%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $22 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$2
other 1% +$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 0m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena SELL Roberto Carballes Baena 99¢ $379 2m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 96¢ $78 2m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 43¢ $2 2m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 96¢ $2 2m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 58¢ $3 2m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 91¢ $273 2m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 62¢ $3 3m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 38¢ $2 3m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Andrea Guerrieri 58¢ $3 3m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Daniel Galan 99¢ $495 3m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Daniel Galan 99¢ $16 4m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 95¢ $451 4m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Andrea Guerrieri 60¢ $3 4m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 95¢ $1 4m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 95¢ $9 4m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 95¢ $9 4m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 95¢ $5 4m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Daniel Galan 95¢ $5 4m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Daniel Galan 95¢ $7 4m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 84¢ $15 4m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 84¢ $10 4m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Daniel Galan 82¢ $82 4m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 33¢ $2 4m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 75¢ $62 5m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 75¢ $4 5m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 75¢ $9 5m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 34¢ $2 6m
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo SELL Celine Naef 99¢ $5 8m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 79¢ $2 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 146 -3.1% -12.4% 43% 10% -9.2%
≤30d 146 -3.1% -12.4% 43% 10% -9.2%
≤90d 146 -3.1% -12.4% 43% 10% -9.2%
all 146 -3.1% -12.4% 43% 10% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1033.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 10% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 3% -17.9%
15% -28.4% 3% -25.8%
20% -35.4% 1% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $224.36 · official $232.49 · 3500 history records