Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:29:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

48
0x488e…ea2e
sports · 335 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$4,972 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,972 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,972
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses155 / 179
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Est. fees paid−$1,441
Open positions0
Markets (closed)334 / 335
History coverage53d
Avg bet$377
Trades / day37.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 334 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$730
7 days−$879
14 days−$17,742
30 days−$14,223
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 39¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 2¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? No 38¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Movistar KOI 53¢ 0¢ $569 $0 −$569 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? No 14¢ 0¢ $216 $0 −$216 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1,260 $0 −$1,260 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Cloud9 57¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 62¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 18¢ 0¢ $209 $0 −$209 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner HANJIN BRION 22¢ 0¢ $558 $0 −$558 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 43¢ 0¢ $447 $0 −$447 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 2¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 23¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $142 +$4 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $379 −$216 -57%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $88 −$86 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $312 +$60 +19%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 13 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$36 +69%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $349 −$209 -60%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $112 +$27 +24%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $400 −$288 -72%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $236 +$188 +79%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 10 $249 −$12 -5%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $42 −$42 -99%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $23 +$19 +86%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $966 −$171 -18%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $68 +$95 +140%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $31 −$30 -97%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $200 −$196 -98%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $576 −$569 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $2,018 −$1,179 -58%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $571 −$558 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $455 −$447 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 06 $262 −$216 -82%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 Jun 05 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 05 $10 +$10 +93%
Spurs vs. Thunder Jun 05 $2,742 −$1,772 -65%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27? Jun 05 $334 −$334 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 05 $238 −$238 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$10 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? Jun 05 $105 −$98 -94%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5 Jun 05 $119 −$18 -16%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 05 $140 +$228 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 05 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 05 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 05 $32 −$32 -100%
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5 Jun 05 $116 −$116 -100%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? Jun 05 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 05 $52 −$52 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $134 −$134 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 05 $94 −$94 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 05 $218 −$218 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 05 $91 −$91 -100%
UD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 1.5 Jun 05 $354 −$304 -86%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27? Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 3? Jun 05 $202 −$202 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? Jun 05 $361 −$164 -46%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $739 −$560 -76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 63% −$8,216
crypto 20% +$8,411
world 13% −$4,437
politics 3% −$166
other 0% −$282
weather 0% −$282
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? SELL No 50¢ $74 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 46¢ $72 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? SELL No 46¢ $72 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 41¢ $70 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 2¢ $2 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 1¢ $7 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 8¢ $6 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 10¢ $23 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 29¢ $150 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 28¢ $39 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 70¢ $297 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 33¢ $32 9h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 34¢ $62 9h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 33¢ $57 9h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 22¢ $9 10h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 23¢ $79 10h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 2¢ $26 10h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $116 10h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 93¢ $108 11h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 79¢ $256 11h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 45¢ $22 11h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 64¢ $20 11h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $182 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $51 13h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $21 30h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 19¢ $81 30h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 19¢ $17 30h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 17¢ $0 30h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 17¢ $7 30h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 17¢ $3 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -29.5% -36.2% 37% 32% -37.1%
≤30d 246 -28.7% -35.5% 35% 29% -23.1%
≤90d 334 -10.8% -19.3% 46% 38% -13.1%
all 334 -10.8% -19.3% 46% 38% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.3% 38% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 29% -21.4%
15% -34.1% 26% -29.0%
20% -40.5% 23% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $20.00 · 2185 history records