trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | +44.4% | +30.6% | 82% | 76% | +19.5% |
| ≤30d | 28 | +21.7% | +10.1% | 64% | 61% | +11.2% |
| ≤90d | 28 | +21.7% | +10.1% | 64% | 61% | +11.2% |
| all | 35 | +12.4% | +1.7% | 63% | 57% | -0.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +1.7% | 57% | -0.7% |
| 10% | -8.0% | 49% | -10.2% |
| 15% | -16.9% | 34% | -18.9% |
| 20% | -25.1% | 31% | -26.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $200 | $202 | +$2 (+1%) |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) | Japan | 41¢ | 40¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Spread: Japan (-2.5) | Japan | 19¢ | 20¢ | $20 | $22 | +$2 (+8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $51 | +$39 | +76% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 | Jun 21 | $50 | +$17 | +35% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 | Jun 21 | $101 | +$26 | +26% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5 | Jun 21 | $25 | +$8 | +30% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 | Jun 21 | $26 | +$1 | +5% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $226 | +$27 | +12% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $26 | −$26 | -98% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5 | Jun 20 | $101 | +$65 | +64% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5 | Jun 20 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $50 | +$18 | +36% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $23 | +$28 | +119% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 | Jun 20 | $20 | +$16 | +79% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5 | Jun 20 | $15 | +$10 | +64% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5 | Jun 20 | $8 | +$17 | +203% |
| Spread: Brazil (-3.5) | Jun 20 | $48 | +$13 | +26% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $26 | +$71 | +279% |
| Grizzlies vs. Warriors | Jun 09 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Jun 09 | $72 | −$72 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 09 | $1,012 | −$1,012 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | Jun 09 | $993 | −$993 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $560 | −$560 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $1,228 | +$1,388 | +113% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $1,000 | +$1,372 | +137% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $88 | −$59 | -67% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 26 | $2,280 | −$280 | -12% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $2,475 | +$2,020 | +82% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $507 | +$514 | +102% |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | Dec 03 | $339 | −$206 | -61% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Dec 03 | $1,371 | +$159 | +12% |
| Warriors vs. Trail Blazers | Oct 25 | $100 | −$69 | -69% |
| Thunder vs. Pacers | Jul 02 | $1,099 | −$1,099 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June? | Jul 02 | $100 | +$15 | +15% |
| Pacers vs. Thunder | Jun 23 | $303 | +$74 | +24% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June? | Jun 23 | $100 | +$4 | +4% |