trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 50% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 43% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 50% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 20 | -14.5% | -22.6% | 55% | 5% | -15.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.6% | 5% | -15.7% |
| 10% | -30.0% | 0% | -23.8% |
| 15% | -36.8% | 0% | -31.1% |
| 20% | -43.0% | 0% | -37.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 21 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 20 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Jun 20 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 20 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $49 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $99 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 27 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 24 | $27 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June? | Dec 09 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 25 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May? | Jun 01 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 01 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election? | May 22 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 27 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 27 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint? | Mar 22 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Robert Morris vs. Alabama | Mar 21 | $5 | $0 | -8% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in February 20 | Mar 20 | $24 | +$5 | +19% |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 28? | Mar 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government? | Mar 19 | $4 | $0 | -9% |