Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:38:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

48
0x484e…40ed
crypto · 1386 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$317 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$317 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$317
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses675 / 712
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1387 / 1386
History coverage98d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day21.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1387 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$2
14 days−$38
30 days−$89
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$2 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$2 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 05 $1 +$2 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 05 $1 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$299
other 1% $0
sports 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -5.9% -14.9% 50% 50% -11.6%
≤30d 285 -16.2% -24.2% 41% 41% -24.8%
≤90d 1383 -7.2% -16.0% 49% 36% -18.2%
all 1387 -7.0% -15.9% 49% 36% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 36% -17.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.9% 32% -25.8%
15% -31.3% 29% -32.9%
20% -38.0% 25% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3035 history records