Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:39:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
48 0x4848…abee crypto 1237 markets active 0h ago coverage 28d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (52 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$12 (+0%) realized +$12 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate83%1023W / 214L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day52.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days+$2
14 days−$6
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (52 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 227 +0.9% -8.7% 87% 26% -9.3%
≤30d 1237 -0.5% -10.0% 83% 29% -10.1%
≤90d 1237 -0.5% -10.0% 83% 29% -10.1%
all 1237 -0.5% -10.0% 83% 29% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 29% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 9% -18.7%
15% -26.5% 2% -26.6%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
60% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses1023 / 214
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1237 / 1237
History coverage28d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day52.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1237 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2669 history records