Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:27:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

48
0x4833…17d5
sports · 171 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$237 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$205 · open −$32
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$205
Unrealized−$32
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses61 / 109
Est. fees paid−$124
Open positions1
Markets (closed)170 / 171
History coverage150d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 1 History 170 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$462
7 days−$462
14 days−$462
30 days−$238
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 34¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner PARIVISION 34¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 20¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev Daniil Medvedev 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 21¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 31¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 36¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $26 −$2 -8%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $26 −$3 -12%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $31 +$61 +201%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $15 +$34 +223%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Champi Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Learner Tien Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Gro Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev Jun 13 $51 +$21 +42%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Shelton Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner May 20 $26 +$113 +442%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina May 16 $76 +$130 +170%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev May 15 $47 −$19 -39%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 12 $25 +$22 +87%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group St May 12 $51 +$120 +236%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner May 12 $25 +$25 +99%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic - Map 2 Winner May 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner May 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11? May 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner May 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner May 11 $25 +$25 +97%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic May 11 $99 +$37 +38%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner May 11 $5 +$12 +254%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winner May 11 $26 +$51 +200%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner May 11 $26 +$60 +233%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner May 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia Potapova May 11 $26 −$26 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Elise Mertens May 10 $43 −$43 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner May 10 $26 −$26 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner May 10 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte - Map 1 Winner May 10 $26 −$26 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz May 10 $26 −$26 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Nikola Bartunkova May 10 $25 +$32 +126%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Merida Agu May 07 $25 −$25 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zheng May 07 $51 −$51 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Starodubtseva vs Waltert May 07 $25 −$25 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Peyton Stearns vs Janice Tjen May 07 $26 −$26 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% −$20
other 15% −$217
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 34¢ $33 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 29¢ $26 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 42¢ $25 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 24¢ $23 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 25¢ $26 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 20¢ $26 6h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 28¢ $15 7h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 48¢ $15 7h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 24¢ $15 7h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 45¢ $15 8h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL B8 18¢ $23 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 21¢ $20 8h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 20¢ $26 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 99¢ $92 9h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 28¢ $15 10h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 38¢ $15 10h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 99¢ $49 10h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $15 11h
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Shelton BUY Ben Shelton 44¢ $23 16d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 31¢ $26 22d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BUY TYLOO 22¢ $26 23d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BUY TYLOO 26¢ $26 23d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Gro BUY Liquid 25¢ $20 23d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Gro BUY Liquid 29¢ $17 23d
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner BUY TYLOO 29¢ $51 24d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 1 Winner BUY M80 34¢ $25 24d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 15¢ $26 24d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 14¢ $13 24d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 27¢ $13 24d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL B8 100¢ $1 24d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -58.9% -62.8% 13% 13% -67.4%
≤30d 26 -32.4% -38.9% 19% 19% -33.6%
≤90d 162 -8.2% -17.0% 37% 35% -11.3%
all 170 -7.0% -15.8% 36% 34% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.8% 34% -12.1%
10% -23.9% 33% -20.5%
15% -31.2% 32% -28.2%
20% -38.0% 29% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $0.05 (match) · 417 history records