Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:17:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

48
0x482a…c85d
sports · 214 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$2,635 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,457 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,457
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses164 / 49
Whale WR (big bets)89%
Est. fees paid−$341
Open positions0
Markets (closed)213 / 214
History coverage21d
Avg bet$229
Trades / day75.5
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 213 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$708
7 days+$269
14 days+$1,835
30 days+$2,457
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 3.5 Under 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Under 1¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 Under 81¢ 0¢ $114 $0 −$114 (-100%)
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 Over 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 89¢ 0¢ $381 $0 −$381 (-100%)
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 0.5 Under 11¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming: O/U 1.5 Under 23¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 3.5 Under 89¢ 0¢ $446 $0 −$446 (-100%)
Will Slovakia vs. Malta end in a draw? Yes 89¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 0.5 Under 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 0.5 Under 4¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Raja Club Athletic vs. RS Berkane: O/U 0.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 60¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Under 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Under 86¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5 Under 85¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Will Chile win on 2026-06-06? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Under 43¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Yes 93¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime? No 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: O/U 0.5 Under 5¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Under 29¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 77¢ 0¢ $243 $0 −$243 (-100%)
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. AC Monza: O/U 1.5 Under 76¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Draw at halftime? Yes 81¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $595 +$65 +11%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $28 +$7 +24%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $300 +$26 +9%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $357 −$18 -5%
Australia leading at halftime? Jun 14 $209 +$6 +3%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1,061 −$40 -4%
Will CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato end in a draw? Jun 14 $300 +$19 +6%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $351 +$11 +3%
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $505 +$188 +37%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $14 +$1 +8%
CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $160 +$10 +6%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $13 −$2 -17%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $274 −$62 -23%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $382 −$381 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $484 −$10 -2%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $250 −$242 -96%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $307 +$10 +3%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $292 +$42 +14%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $449 −$20 -4%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,101 +$12 +1%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $38 +$2 +6%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1,260 +$87 +7%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $350 +$59 +17%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $52 −$45 -87%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $51 +$7 +14%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $1,840 −$3 -0%
Will SC Recife vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? Jun 11 $185 +$18 +10%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $7 +$1 +20%
England vs. Costa Rica: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $394 −$26 -7%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $100 +$1 +1%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Draw at halftime? Jun 10 $4 $0 +1%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $97 −$29 -30%
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? Jun 10 $303 +$5 +2%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $151 +$10 +6%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 -97%
Argentina vs. Iceland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $19 +$1 +6%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $1,461 +$73 +5%
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $50 +$21 +41%
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 10 $526 +$5 +1%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $8 −$8 -99%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $513 +$73 +14%
Fortaleza EC leading at halftime? Jun 10 $182 +$2 +1%
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $776 +$51 +7%
RCA Zemamra vs. UnionTouargaSports: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $81 +$19 +24%
Will UnionTouargaSports win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $12 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% +$2,323
other 18% +$135
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 99¢ $200 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 95¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 95¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 95¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 95¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 95¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 95¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 95¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 95¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 92¢ $100 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 90¢ $99 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 92¢ $100 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 90¢ $98 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 90¢ $98 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 84¢ $100 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 75¢ $313 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 77¢ $4 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 77¢ $4 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 77¢ $18 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 78¢ $290 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 78¢ $1 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 78¢ $66 2h
Australia leading at halftime? SELL Yes 98¢ $200 2h
Australia leading at halftime? SELL Yes 98¢ $5 2h
Australia leading at halftime? SELL Yes 98¢ $5 2h
Australia leading at halftime? SELL Yes 98¢ $5 2h
Australia leading at halftime? BUY Yes 95¢ $53 2h
Australia leading at halftime? BUY Yes 95¢ $95 2h
Australia leading at halftime? BUY Yes 95¢ $8 2h
Australia leading at halftime? BUY Yes 95¢ $12 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-2.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 87 -10.0% -18.5% 69% 30% -8.3%
≤30d 213 +8.3% -2.0% 77% 40% -4.8%
≤90d 213 +8.3% -2.0% 77% 40% -4.8%
all 213 +8.3% -2.0% 77% 40% -4.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover75.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.0% 40% -4.8%
10% ← realistic here -11.4% 16% -13.9%
15% -19.9% 8% -22.2%
20% -27.8% 4% -29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1774 history records