Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:28:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

48
0x4817…29ec
crypto · 131 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$73 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$73 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$73
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses38 / 93
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)131 / 131
History coverage185d
Avg bet$91
Trades / day3.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 131 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$3
14 days−$8
30 days−$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 9? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $444 −$1 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -53%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $395 −$1 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $319 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7? Jun 06 $394 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +15%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $18 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +15%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 31? May 30 $1,595 −$2 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30? May 29 $746 −$1 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 30? May 29 $5 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 7AM ET May 28 $2 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1PM ET May 27 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27? May 26 $320 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7AM ET May 26 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6AM ET May 26 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26? May 25 $89 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2PM ET May 25 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9AM ET May 25 $1 $0 +17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25? May 25 $571 −$1 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 25? May 24 $19 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25? May 24 $70 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2PM ET May 24 $4 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12PM ET May 24 $1 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11AM ET May 24 $3 −$1 -27%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24? May 23 $264 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET May 23 $3 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12PM ET May 23 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11AM ET May 23 $3 −$1 -40%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23? May 23 $1,000 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2AM ET May 23 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4PM ET May 22 $2 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET May 22 $2 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23? May 22 $55 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET May 22 $8 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22? May 22 $1,943 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET May 22 $5 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin above 77,000 on May 22, 4AM ET? May 22 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22? May 21 $845 −$1 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22? May 21 $911 −$1 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 22? May 21 $16 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21? May 21 $115 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$73
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $29 57m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $29 57m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $29 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $29 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $29 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $29 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $29 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $29 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $29 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $29 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $29 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $29 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-31.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -0.8% -10.3% 38% 25% -9.7%
≤30d 85 -15.5% -23.5% 27% 12% -9.9%
≤90d 115 -18.3% -26.1% 31% 16% -10.0%
all 131 -24.1% -31.3% 29% 15% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.3% 15% -10.1%
10% -37.9% 9% -18.7%
15% -43.9% 7% -26.5%
20% -49.4% 5% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 623 history records