trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -5.6% | -14.6% | 60% | 0% | -24.5% |
| all | 13 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 38% | 0% | -21.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.7% | 0% | -21.8% |
| 10% | -22.0% | 0% | -29.3% |
| 15% | -29.5% | 0% | -36.1% |
| 20% | -36.4% | 0% | -42.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | Jun 27 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | May 06 | $263 | −$74 | -28% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 19? | May 05 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 3? | Apr 07 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 26? | Apr 02 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 19? | Mar 25 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 05 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 05 | $9 | −$1 | -17% |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 04 | $21 | −$2 | -8% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 02 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Mar 01 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 01 | $20 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 27 | $36 | $0 | +0% |