Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:28:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

48
0x480b…c431
crypto · 415 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$148 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$148 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$148
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses276 / 139
Open positions0
Markets (closed)415 / 415
History coverage10d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day40.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 415 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$84
14 days−$148
30 days−$148
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$148
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $13 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 306 -0.6% -10.1% 65% 65% -14.2%
≤30d 415 +0.7% -8.9% 67% 67% -13.6%
≤90d 415 +0.7% -8.9% 67% 67% -13.6%
all 415 +0.7% -8.9% 67% 67% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 67% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 65% -21.9%
15% -25.6% 54% -29.4%
20% -32.9% 28% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 692 history records