trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5) | Côte dIvoire | 10¢ | 10¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 51¢ | 50¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 38¢ | 38¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | Los Angeles Dodgers | 54¢ | 52¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 171.5 | Over | 49¢ | 47¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets | Atlanta Braves | 50¢ | 12¢ | $5 | $1 | −$4 (-75%) |
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner | G2 Esports | 76¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-99%) |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $65 | $0 | −$65 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Monte | 38¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | Jun 14 | $5 | +$5 | +99% |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa | Jun 14 | $25 | −$1 | -5% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $60 | +$20 | +34% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$13 | +255% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $5 | +$4 | +82% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | +$10 | +197% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score | Jun 13 | $5 | +$21 | +403% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $40 | +$5 | +12% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $12 | +$12 | +101% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$4 | -18% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$8 | +153% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $4 | +$2 | +38% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 02 | $68 | −$65 | -97% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +76.3% | +59.6% | 67% | 67% | +15.5% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +65.3% | +49.6% | 62% | 62% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +65.3% | +49.6% | 62% | 62% | -9.8% |
| all | 16 | +65.3% | +49.6% | 62% | 62% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +49.6% | 62% | -9.8% |
| 10% | +35.3% | 56% | -18.4% |
| 15% | +22.2% | 50% | -26.3% |
| 20% | +10.2% | 44% | -33.6% |