Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

47
0x47f5…90c9
crypto · 576 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$119 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$119 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$119
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses409 / 167
Open positions0
Markets (closed)576 / 576
History coverage22d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day38.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 576 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days−$2
14 days−$15
30 days−$119
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$119
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $3 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 266 -0.1% -9.6% 97% 2% -9.6%
≤30d 576 -3.2% -12.4% 71% 24% -11.6%
≤90d 576 -3.2% -12.4% 71% 24% -11.6%
all 576 -3.2% -12.4% 71% 24% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 24% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 20% -20.1%
15% -28.5% 16% -27.8%
20% -35.5% 12% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1222 history records