Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:00:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

47
0x47ec…642e
crypto · 287 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses52 / 235
Open positions0
Markets (closed)287 / 287
History coverage3d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day111.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 287 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$11 +244%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$9 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$22 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 287 +2.2% -7.5% 18% 18% -9.5%
≤30d 287 +2.2% -7.5% 18% 18% -9.5%
≤90d 287 +2.2% -7.5% 18% 18% -9.5%
all 287 +2.2% -7.5% 18% 18% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover111.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.5% 18% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.4% 18% -18.2%
15% -24.5% 18% -26.1%
20% -31.9% 18% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 645 history records