Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T13:28:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
47 0x47e7…cc1f crypto 48 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (136 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$174 (-7%) realized −$174 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate71%34W / 14L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$51per market
Trades / day136.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$179
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (136 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 -10.6% -19.1% 71% 19% -16.2%
≤30d 48 -10.6% -19.1% 71% 19% -16.2%
≤90d 48 -10.6% -19.1% 71% 19% -16.2%
all 48 -10.6% -19.1% 71% 19% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover136.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.1% 19% -16.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.9% 12% -24.2%
15% -34.0% 10% -31.5%
20% -40.4% 6% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
74% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -18% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$26 · ×0.21 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.51 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$174
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses34 / 14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)48 / 48
History coverage1d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day136.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 48 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 20 $51 +$13 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 20 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 20 $101 +$23 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 20 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 19 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 19 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 19 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 19 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 19 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 19 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 19 $50 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 19 $50 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 19 $51 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 19 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 19 $26 −$6 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 19 $70 −$30 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 19 $27 +$12 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 19 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 19 $29 −$9 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 19 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 19 $28 −$8 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 19 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 19 $9 +$11 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 19 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 19 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 19 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 19 $19 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 19 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 19 $28 +$12 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 19 $26 +$14 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 19 $21 −$16 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 19 $33 +$27 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 19 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 19 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $51 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $51 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $51 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $50 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $50 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $50 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $50 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 179 history records