trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +46.1% | +32.2% | 50% | 50% | +56.8% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +17.1% | +5.9% | 40% | 40% | +5.9% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +17.2% | +6.0% | 46% | 46% | +9.7% |
| all | 26 | +17.2% | +6.0% | 46% | 46% | +9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +6.0% | 46% | +9.7% |
| 10% | -4.1% | 46% | -0.8% |
| 15% | -13.4% | 38% | -10.4% |
| 20% | -21.9% | 35% | -19.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $100 | $126 | +$26 (+26%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $75 | $85 | +$10 (+13%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $53 | $50 | −$3 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $12 | +$22 | +178% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $26 | +$58 | +226% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $11 | +$19 | +172% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $27 | +$77 | +291% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 12 | $11 | −$11 | -97% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $23 | −$22 | -98% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $27 | −$26 | -98% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | Jun 12 | $26 | −$21 | -79% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $26 | +$64 | +249% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $7 | −$6 | -86% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $17 | −$17 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $41 | +$70 | +172% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 04 | $20 | +$38 | +184% |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting | May 27 | $100 | −$95 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | May 25 | $16 | +$5 | +32% |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k? | May 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | May 24 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k? | May 21 | $26 | +$24 | +92% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | May 19 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 19 | $20 | −$3 | -13% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | May 19 | $34 | +$16 | +49% |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China? | May 15 | $11 | +$6 | +53% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? | May 15 | $25 | +$6 | +24% |