Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:55:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

47
0x47d7…113a
crypto · 219 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$283 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$287 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$287
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses109 / 109
Open positions1
Markets (closed)218 / 219
History coverage129d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day11.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 218 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$292
7 days+$292
14 days+$292
30 days+$292
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+44%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$4 (-97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$14 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $67 +$34 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$43 +192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$25 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$8 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $72 +$9 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$17 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$14 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$14 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$54 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$283
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-3.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 178 +1.4% -8.3% 52% 49% -1.9%
≤30d 178 +1.4% -8.3% 52% 49% -1.9%
≤90d 178 +1.4% -8.3% 52% 49% -1.9%
all 218 +6.7% -3.5% 50% 46% -2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.5% 46% -2.2%
10% -12.7% 39% -11.6%
15% -21.2% 34% -20.1%
20% -28.9% 26% -27.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.40 · official $13.00 · 1690 history records