Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T12:22:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
47 0x47d4…351e crypto 183 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (71 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$50 (+1%) realized +$50 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR13%break-even
Win rate94%172W / 11L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$33per market
Trades / day71.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$65
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (71 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 183 +1.2% -8.4% 94% 13% -8.5%
≤30d 183 +1.2% -8.4% 94% 13% -8.5%
≤90d 183 +1.2% -8.4% 94% 13% -8.5%
all 183 +1.2% -8.4% 94% 13% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover71.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.4% 13% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.2% 4% -17.3%
15% -25.2% 1% -25.3%
20% -32.5% 1% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
82% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$25 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.24 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$50
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses172 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)183 / 183
History coverage3d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day71.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 183 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 18 $102 +$33 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 18 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 18 $200 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 18 $30 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 18 $75 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 18 $75 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $75 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 18 $76 +$8 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 18 $75 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 18 $75 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 18 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 18 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 18 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 18 $30 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 18 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 18 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 18 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $101 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 18 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 18 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 18 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $100 +$6 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $15 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $15 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $15 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $102 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $15 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $75 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $75 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $75 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $76 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $75 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $75 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $15 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 381 history records