trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -15.0% | -23.1% | 75% | 50% | -32.3% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -35.1% | -41.3% | 50% | 39% | -27.6% |
| all | 24 | +26.2% | +14.2% | 62% | 54% | -11.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +14.2% | 54% | -11.5% |
| 10% | +3.2% | 29% | -20.0% |
| 15% | -6.7% | 29% | -27.7% |
| 20% | -15.9% | 25% | -34.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $60 | $60 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Jun 11 | $96 | −$96 | -100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 08 | $108 | +$9 | +9% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31? | Jun 01 | $30 | +$4 | +14% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $56 | +$10 | +18% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | May 18 | $66 | +$12 | +18% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026? | Apr 28 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | Apr 28 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Apr 21 | $49 | +$7 | +14% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026? | Apr 21 | $55 | +$5 | +9% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Islanders | Apr 14 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Flyers vs. Islanders | Apr 09 | $30 | +$40 | +133% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Apr 03 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Hornets | Apr 03 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | Apr 03 | $37 | +$4 | +11% |
| Cavaliers vs. Nuggets | Mar 28 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Heat | Mar 28 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans | Mar 28 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Kings | Mar 25 | $24 | +$11 | +45% |
| Red Wings vs. Predators | Mar 08 | $12 | +$11 | +92% |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Mar 02 | $4 | +$25 | +669% |
| Nuggets vs. Warriors | Feb 25 | $15 | +$30 | +203% |
| Pacers vs. Wizards | Feb 22 | $27 | +$31 | +113% |
| Pacers vs. Nets | Feb 20 | $14 | +$22 | +163% |
| Heat vs. Wizards | Feb 09 | $12 | +$2 | +19% |