trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -30.4% | -37.0% | 50% | 50% | -29.8% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -11.5% | -19.9% | 55% | 55% | +6.8% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +5.3% | -4.7% | 56% | 56% | +37.8% |
| all | 26 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 54% | 54% | +10.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.4% | 54% | +10.8% |
| 10% | -17.2% | 50% | +0.2% |
| 15% | -25.2% | 46% | -9.5% |
| 20% | -32.5% | 38% | -18.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $100 | +$11 | +11% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $61 | +$33 | +55% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $101 | +$53 | +52% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $152 | −$150 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $41 | +$43 | +105% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $202 | +$115 | +57% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 18 | $31 | +$24 | +78% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 18 | $16 | −$16 | -97% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $203 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$15 | +73% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$46 | +46% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$6 | +29% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $101 | +$65 | +65% |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switz | Jun 14 | $1,013 | +$445 | +44% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 13 | $112 | +$150 | +134% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $512 | +$315 | +62% |
| FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score | May 06 | $503 | −$59 | -12% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Apr 08 | $999 | +$1,439 | +144% |
| Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading? | Feb 23 | $999 | −$999 | -100% |