trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -26.6% | -33.6% | 45% | 45% | -33.5% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -26.9% | -33.9% | 46% | 46% | -34.2% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -26.9% | -33.9% | 46% | 46% | -34.2% |
| all | 38 | -50.6% | -55.3% | 34% | 24% | -39.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -55.3% | 24% | -39.1% |
| 10% | -59.6% | 24% | -45.0% |
| 15% | -63.5% | 16% | -50.3% |
| 20% | -67.1% | 11% | -55.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 89¢ | 88¢ | $150 | $149 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $51 | +$33 | +64% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $41 | −$41 | -99% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $33 | +$8 | +24% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $22 | +$11 | +50% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $0 | $0 | -97% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $56 | +$30 | +55% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $56 | −$55 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $56 | +$64 | +114% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $56 | −$55 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $50 | +$22 | +44% |
| Clippers vs. Rockets | Feb 11 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 19? | Nov 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 19? | Nov 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 18? | Nov 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Solana reach $180 November 10-16? | Nov 13 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Solana dip to $150 November 10-16? | Nov 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 17? | Nov 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 15? | Nov 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Clippers | Nov 10 | $20 | +$7 | +35% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on November 12? | Nov 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 12? | Nov 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 14? | Nov 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10PM ET | Nov 09 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves | Nov 09 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Hornets vs. Heat | Nov 09 | $10 | +$1 | +8% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Heat | Nov 09 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Nuggets | Nov 09 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Cavaliers | Nov 09 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | Nov 08 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Spurs | Nov 08 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Nets | Nov 08 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 05 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 05 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Lakers vs. Trail Blazers | Nov 04 | $10 | +$14 | +144% |
| Mavericks vs. Rockets | Nov 04 | $10 | +$2 | +25% |