Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:51:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

47
0x4789…62d1
crypto · 161 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$73 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$73 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$73
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses82 / 77
Open positions2
Markets (closed)159 / 161
History coverage18d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day13.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 2 History 159 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$73
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes 68¢ 24¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-65%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
HYPE Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +116%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +174%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +107%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +67%
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -47%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +102%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +134%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +45%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$3 +280%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$3 +270%
HYPE Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$3 +280%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% −$80
other 17% +$6
tech 1% +$2
world 0% $0
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $2 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 12h
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $1 13h
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? SELL No 75¢ $1 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 35h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $1 36h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 36h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 36h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-25.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -17.6% -25.4% 44% 38% -21.9%
≤30d 159 -17.5% -25.3% 52% 31% -26.6%
≤90d 159 -17.5% -25.3% 52% 31% -26.6%
all 159 -17.5% -25.3% 52% 31% -26.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.3% 31% -26.6%
10% -32.5% 24% -33.7%
15% -39.0% 19% -40.1%
20% -45.0% 16% -45.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.34 · official $1.34 (match) · 318 history records