Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:46:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

47
0x4761…5ae8
other · 3 markets active 9h ago
0.0score
+$1,187,536 +279%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$489,480 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$489,480
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses3 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$141,738
Trades / day3493.0
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 0 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$489,480
7 days+$489,480
14 days+$489,480
30 days+$489,480
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? No 40¢ 0¢ $116,889 $0 −$116,889 (-100%)
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24? No 41¢ 0¢ $83,634 $0 −$83,634 (-100%)
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24? No 37¢ 0¢ $27,918 $0 −$27,918 (-100%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? No 31¢ 0¢ $68,782 $0 −$68,782 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18? No 10¢ 0¢ $16,467 $0 −$16,467 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16? No 16¢ 0¢ $9,170 $0 −$9,170 (-100%)
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24? No 49¢ 0¢ $45,599 $0 −$45,599 (-100%)
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24? No 27¢ 0¢ $39,065 $0 −$39,065 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? Jun 14 $116,889 −$116,889 -100%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $83,634 −$83,634 -100%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $27,918 −$27,918 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 14 $68,782 −$68,782 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18? Jun 14 $16,467 −$16,467 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16? Jun 14 $9,170 −$9,170 -100%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $45,599 −$45,599 -100%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $39,065 −$39,065 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $192,681 +$20,572 +11%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $133,031 +$178,980 +134%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $99,502 +$697,454 +701%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$897,006
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $84 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $34 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $405 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $13 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $7 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $143 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $1 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $7 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $14 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $4,270 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $92 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $33 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $20 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $609 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $1 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $7 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $3 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $607 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $27 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $91 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $13 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $13 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $10 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $6 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $47 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $2 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $19 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $67 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $129 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 40¢ $133 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +4.2% -5.7% 27% 27% +43.7%
≤30d 11 +4.2% -5.7% 27% 27% +43.7%
≤90d 11 +4.2% -5.7% 27% 27% +43.7%
all 11 +4.2% -5.7% 27% 27% +43.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3493.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.7% 27% +43.7%
10% -14.7% 18% +29.9%
15% ← realistic here -23.0% 18% +17.4%
20% -30.5% 18% +5.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records