trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 | Under | 65¢ | 96¢ | $20 | $29 | +$9 (+47%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? | Yes | 19¢ | 30¢ | $10 | $16 | +$6 (+55%) |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score | No | 47¢ | 71¢ | $10 | $15 | +$5 (+51%) |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 64¢ | 81¢ | $10 | $13 | +$3 (+27%) |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 49¢ | 48¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | Yes | 6¢ | 4¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-23%) |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Scotland | 44¢ | 32¢ | $10 | $7 | −$3 (-27%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 121.5 | Under | 58¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Cavaliers | 66¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5 | Over | 57¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5 | Over | 67¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5 | Over | 50¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5 | Under | 56¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Will Watford FC win on 2025-11-25? | Yes | 52¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spread: Thunder (-14.5) | Thunder | 52¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Pistons | 59¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-25? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 76¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 82¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5 | Under | 55¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 240.5 | Under | 47¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | Hawks | 82¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $10 | +$11 | +109% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $20 | +$21 | +105% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$25 | +250% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +43% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $16 | +$85 | +529% |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awa | Mar 16 | $9 | +$3 | +32% |
| Sharks vs. Avalanche | Feb 09 | $24 | +$1 | +4% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | Feb 05 | $2 | +$1 | +49% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5 | Feb 05 | $2 | +$1 | +70% |
| Spread: Thunder (-11.5) | Feb 05 | $2 | +$1 | +72% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 110.5 | Feb 05 | $2 | +$1 | +72% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Feb 05 | $2 | +$2 | +75% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Feb 05 | $2 | +$2 | +85% |
| Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29? | Dec 25 | $44 | −$20 | -44% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5 | Dec 25 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5 | Dec 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 121.5 | Dec 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 240.5 | Dec 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Lakers | Nov 29 | $3 | +$1 | +22% |
| Bucks vs. Knicks | Nov 29 | $3 | +$1 | +35% |
| 76ers vs. Nets | Nov 29 | $3 | +$1 | +39% |
| 76ers vs. Nets: 1H O/U 117.5 | Nov 29 | $3 | +$2 | +72% |
| 76ers vs. Nets: O/U 229.5 | Nov 29 | $5 | +$3 | +70% |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5 | Nov 29 | $5 | +$4 | +79% |
| Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 248.5 | Nov 29 | $5 | +$5 | +96% |
| Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5 | Nov 28 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Clippers | Nov 28 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5 | Nov 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Nov 28 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 | Nov 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-14.5) | Nov 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5 | Nov 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Nov 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5 | Nov 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5 | Nov 28 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Nov 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Lakers | Nov 26 | $5 | +$2 | +49% |
| Will Watford FC win on 2025-11-25? | Nov 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-25? | Nov 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Nov 25 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | Nov 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | Nov 25 | $5 | +$2 | +32% |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5 | Nov 25 | $5 | +$5 | +100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Bucks | Nov 25 | $5 | +$6 | +113% |
| Jazz vs. Warriors: O/U 239.5 | Nov 25 | $5 | +$5 | +96% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Nov 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +25.6% | +13.6% | 50% | 50% | +18.9% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +81.5% | +64.2% | 56% | 56% | +80.5% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +76.5% | +59.7% | 60% | 60% | +76.0% |
| all | 106 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 57% | 53% | -3.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.5% | 53% | -3.0% |
| 10% | -17.3% | 47% | -12.3% |
| 15% | -25.3% | 39% | -20.8% |
| 20% | -32.6% | 34% | -28.5% |