Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:50:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

47
0x4738…9cfb
sports · 95 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$529 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$687 · open +$1,252
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,555
Realized−$687
Unrealized+$1,252
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses42 / 51
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$417
Open positions2
Markets (closed)93 / 95
History coverage54d
Avg bet$390
Trades / day10.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 2 History 93 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,330
7 days+$530
14 days+$530
30 days−$3,178
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus Savannah Broadus 38¢ 100¢ $802 $2,075 +$1,273 (+159%)
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Johan Alexander Rodriguez 48¢ 46¢ $501 $480 −$21 (-4%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 54¢ 0¢ $197 $0 −$197 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $708 $0 −$708 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Elena Rybakina 56¢ 0¢ $224 $0 −$224 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Over 37¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 55¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Over 42¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Frances Tiafoe 40¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova Jun 14 $206 +$124 +60%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $717 −$708 -99%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $279 +$221 +79%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 13 $282 +$509 +180%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $107 +$175 +163%
ITF Guimaraes: Katarina Kuzmova vs Savannah Broadus Jun 13 $563 +$231 +41%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $119 +$131 +109%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $199 −$197 -99%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $175 +$245 +140%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $224 −$224 -100%
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $560 +$1,209 +216%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $200 +$71 +35%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $417 +$317 +76%
ITF Guimaraes: Matilde Jorge vs Savannah Broadus Jun 12 $58 +$58 +100%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $416 +$269 +65%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $109 −$109 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $110 −$110 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $104 −$81 -78%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $102 −$70 -69%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $51 −$19 -38%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $101 −$101 -100%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $25 +$36 +140%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 11 $168 −$168 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $978 −$577 -59%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi Jun 11 $497 −$497 -100%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe Jun 11 $301 −$301 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong Jun 11 $460 −$460 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic Jun 11 $1,097 −$1,097 -100%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Anastasiya Sobolieva vs Julie Pastikova Jun 11 $46 −$46 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 11 $214 −$214 -100%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 Jun 11 $222 −$222 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 11 $314 −$314 -100%
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Bublik/Kyrgios vs Paul/Seggerman Jun 11 $131 +$122 +93%
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Leandro Riedi Jun 11 $1,197 −$18 -2%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $542 +$655 +121%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $80 −$78 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
ITF Guimaraes: Savannah Broadus vs Yeon Woo Ku Jun 11 $59 +$97 +163%
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romano Jun 10 $121 +$100 +83%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone Jun 10 $84 +$85 +101%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $151 +$261 +173%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $110 −$14 -12%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $205 +$369 +180%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 09 $776 +$371 +48%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $625 +$355 +57%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 Jun 09 $319 +$307 +96%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 30 $4 +$6 +145%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5 May 29 $997 +$560 +56%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% −$1,572
other 15% +$2,138
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus BUY Savannah Broadus 40¢ $83 1h
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus BUY Savannah Broadus 40¢ $147 1h
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus BUY Savannah Broadus 41¢ $131 1h
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus BUY Savannah Broadus 41¢ $150 1h
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus BUY Savannah Broadus 36¢ $2 2h
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus BUY Savannah Broadus 36¢ $1 2h
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus BUY Savannah Broadus 36¢ $3 2h
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus BUY Savannah Broadus 36¢ $56 2h
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus BUY Savannah Broadus 36¢ $28 2h
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 46¢ $119 3h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova BUY Robin Montgomery 31¢ $9 12h
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 48¢ $152 12h
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 48¢ $14 12h
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 48¢ $11 12h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova BUY Robin Montgomery 31¢ $0 13h
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 48¢ $9 13h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova BUY Robin Montgomery 31¢ $16 13h
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 48¢ $128 13h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova BUY Robin Montgomery 31¢ $2 13h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova BUY Robin Montgomery 31¢ $3 13h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova BUY Robin Montgomery 31¢ $2 13h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova BUY Robin Montgomery 31¢ $2 13h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova BUY Robin Montgomery 31¢ $25 13h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova BUY Robin Montgomery 31¢ $25 13h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova BUY Robin Montgomery 31¢ $45 13h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova BUY Robin Montgomery 31¢ $53 13h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova BUY Robin Montgomery 31¢ $25 13h
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 48¢ $5 13h
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 48¢ $1 13h
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 48¢ $64 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 +7.5% -2.7% 48% 48% -6.1%
≤30d 78 +4.7% -5.3% 49% 47% -19.0%
≤90d 93 -0.2% -9.7% 45% 43% -11.3%
all 93 -0.2% -9.7% 45% 43% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 43% -11.3%
10% -18.3% 40% -19.8%
15% -26.2% 37% -27.5%
20% -33.4% 33% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,554.62 · official $2,554.62 (match) · 618 history records