trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +43.5% | +29.8% | 25% | 25% | +110.8% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +43.5% | +29.8% | 25% | 25% | +110.8% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +40.1% | +26.8% | 56% | 56% | +18.5% |
| all | 9 | +40.1% | +26.8% | 56% | 56% | +18.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +26.8% | 56% | +18.5% |
| 10% | +14.7% | 44% | +7.2% |
| 15% | +3.6% | 33% | -3.2% |
| 20% | -6.6% | 33% | -12.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $50 | $48 | −$2 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $102 | +$486 | +474% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 18 | $1,414 | +$410 | +29% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 13 | $940 | +$474 | +50% |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | Apr 26 | $460 | +$480 | +104% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | Apr 23 | $1,360 | −$219 | -16% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Apr 22 | $931 | +$180 | +19% |