trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 12% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 12% | 0% | -10.0% |
| all | 18 | -3.0% | -12.2% | 50% | 0% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.2% | 0% | -10.1% |
| 10% | -20.6% | 0% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -28.3% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -35.3% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 17 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 06 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 05 | $56 | −$1 | -2% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 04 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 04 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 03 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 02 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 01 | $19 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? | Jun 28 | $9 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76000 and $78000 on Apr 18? | Apr 18 | $9 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference? | Apr 01 | $5 | $0 | -6% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 25 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ontario resume electricity surcharge to the U.S. by next Friday? | Mar 23 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 14-21? | Mar 17 | $2 | −$1 | -55% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 52-53°F on March 17? | Mar 17 | $12 | $0 | +0% |