Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:24:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

47
0x472c…eaea
sports · 55 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,747 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,440 · open −$307
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,002
Realized−$1,440
Unrealized−$307
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses20 / 33
Est. fees paid−$108
Open positions2
Markets (closed)53 / 55
History coverage5d
Avg bet$166
Trades / day74.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 53 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$578
7 days−$1,440
14 days−$1,440
30 days−$1,440
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 59¢ 100¢ $533 $902 +$369 (+69%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 87¢ 100¢ $87 $100 +$13 (+15%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 41¢ 0¢ $257 $0 −$256 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 13¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage RUSTEC 26¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage ASTRAL 21¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers 44¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Chicago White Sox 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 42¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 16¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 38¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 38¢ 0¢ $326 $0 −$326 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 7¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Washington Nationals 46¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage NRG 66¢ 0¢ $253 $0 −$253 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 9z 5¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group B Masked Regime 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $752 +$104 +14%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $92 +$8 +8%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $416 −$85 -20%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $331 −$326 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $224 −$129 -58%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $90 +$10 +11%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $174 +$22 +13%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $82 +$18 +21%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $386 +$176 +46%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $211 −$11 -5%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $390 +$39 +10%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $125 −$25 -20%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $142 −$42 -30%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $19 −$18 -97%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $116 −$1 -1%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $34 −$33 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $44 −$43 -98%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $180 −$80 -44%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $288 −$163 -57%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $47 −$46 -98%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $63 +$37 +58%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $371 −$253 -68%
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - The Inter Jun 10 $15 −$13 -91%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $88 −$37 -42%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1,043 −$680 -65%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $41 +$59 +146%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 09 $89 −$5 -6%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $92 −$2 -2%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $422 +$62 +15%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group St Jun 09 $193 −$90 -47%
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Se Jun 09 $85 +$25 +29%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 09 $111 −$35 -32%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $142 −$93 -66%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Jun 08 $304 +$34 +11%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $63 −$3 -5%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 08 $14 +$7 +48%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 08 $38 −$17 -46%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $57 −$7 -13%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $180 −$60 -33%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $186 −$48 -26%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 07 $19 +$1 +6%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 07 $91 +$5 +6%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $18 −$18 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 07 $74 +$27 +36%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $38 +$13 +35%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 07 $19 +$21 +113%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $83 +$281 +340%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 07 $50 +$5 +10%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 07 $30 −$3 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$1,747
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 5¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 12¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 87¢ $87 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 55¢ $55 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 58¢ $59 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 57¢ $59 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 15¢ $16 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 7¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 18¢ $18 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 5¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 80¢ $80 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 18¢ $19 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 61¢ $62 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 61¢ $62 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 61¢ $62 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 59¢ $60 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 54¢ $55 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 71¢ $72 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 75¢ $76 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 40¢ $41 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 80¢ $26 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 52¢ $53 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 83¢ $83 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 79¢ $79 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 20¢ $20 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $18 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 78¢ $79 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 77¢ $43 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 77¢ $78 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 80¢ $80 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-25.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -17.8% -25.6% 38% 28% -25.9%
≤30d 53 -17.8% -25.6% 38% 28% -25.9%
≤90d 53 -17.8% -25.6% 38% 28% -25.9%
all 53 -17.8% -25.6% 38% 28% -25.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.6% 28% -25.9%
10% ← realistic here -32.7% 17% -33.0%
15% -39.2% 13% -39.5%
20% -45.2% 8% -45.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,002.12 · official $1,002.12 (match) · 422 history records