Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:46:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

47
0x472b…5d5f
crypto · 1049 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,021 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,724 · open +$703
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,713
Realized−$4,724
Unrealized+$703
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses567 / 553
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$58
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1120 / 1049
History coverage6d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day551.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 3 History 1120 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,537
7 days−$4,724
14 days−$4,724
30 days−$4,724
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 50¢ 86¢ $1,000 $1,713 +$713 (+71%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$7 -148%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$17 -1482%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $325 −$325 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -52%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$10 -195%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$8 -185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$5 -263%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$10 -139%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$3 -152%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$8 -159%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$4 -1017%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$9 -582%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $995 −$995 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$6 -2161%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$8 -2104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -77%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 48% +$2,004
crypto 46% −$818
other 6% −$404
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 9m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 9m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 20m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 20m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 31m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 34m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 38m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 40m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 40m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1120 -12.9% -21.2% 51% 40% -24.9%
≤30d 1120 -12.9% -21.2% 51% 40% -24.9%
≤90d 1120 -12.9% -21.2% 51% 40% -24.9%
all 1120 -12.9% -21.2% 51% 40% -24.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover551.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.2% 40% -24.9%
10% ← realistic here -28.7% 24% -32.1%
15% -35.6% 20% -38.6%
20% -41.9% 17% -44.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,713.31 · official $1,715.44 (match) · 3500 history records