Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:12:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

47
0x4716…8a8e
crypto · 185 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$107 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$107 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$107
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses166 / 18
Open positions1
Markets (closed)184 / 185
History coverage99d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 184 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$60
sports 11% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 165 +0.4% -9.2% 96% 1% -9.2%
≤30d 165 +0.4% -9.2% 96% 1% -9.2%
≤90d 165 +0.4% -9.2% 96% 1% -9.2%
all 184 +0.7% -8.9% 90% 4% -18.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.9% 4% -18.1%
10% -17.6% 3% -25.9%
15% -25.5% 3% -33.1%
20% -32.8% 3% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.08 · official $5.08 (match) · 384 history records