Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:16:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

47
0x4713…4d21
sports · 88 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,604 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$87 · open −$5,837
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12,665
Realized+$87
Unrealized−$5,837
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses28 / 41
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$930
Open positions21
Markets (closed)69 / 88
History coverage1d
Avg bet$832
Trades / day3304.0
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 21 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$87
7 days+$87
14 days+$87
30 days+$87
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 65¢ 72¢ $4,142 $4,618 +$476 (+11%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 59¢ 100¢ $864 $1,474 +$610 (+71%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 29¢ 30¢ $1,274 $1,292 +$18 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 88¢ 74¢ $1,475 $1,256 −$219 (-15%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 73¢ 70¢ $1,027 $995 −$33 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D Virtus.pro 61¢ 100¢ $602 $991 +$388 (+64%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 100¢ $185 $403 +$218 (+118%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage SPARTA 29¢ 26¢ $422 $380 −$42 (-10%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 19¢ 28¢ $231 $333 +$103 (+44%)
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15? Yes 30¢ 8¢ $900 $240 −$660 (-73%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner GenOne 69¢ 52¢ $223 $170 −$53 (-24%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 18¢ 26¢ $93 $130 +$37 (+40%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Clutchain 82¢ 100¢ $95 $116 +$21 (+22%)
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30? No 37¢ 67¢ $50 $91 +$41 (+81%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 44¢ 0¢ $4,628 $53 −$4,575 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 33¢ 40¢ $41 $49 +$8 (+20%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner SPARTA 33¢ 48¢ $26 $37 +$11 (+43%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 59¢ 60¢ $26 $27 +$1 (+3%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner WLGaming Esports 9¢ 12¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+37%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 29¢ 0¢ $1,922 $3 −$1,919 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 1 Winner ex-MANA eSports 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-98%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner SPARTA 8¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 31¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner ex-MANA eSports 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $68 +$6 +9%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $33 −$28 -85%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $95 −$38 -40%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $832 −$556 -67%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,923 −$1,482 -77%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,530 +$873 +57%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,469 +$423 +29%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $31 +$15 +48%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $1,620 −$564 -35%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 12 $407 +$21 +5%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $206 +$35 +17%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $470 +$246 +52%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $876 −$37 -4%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $487 −$194 -40%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $147 −$41 -28%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $252 −$128 -51%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $547 −$368 -67%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Jun 12 $177 −$177 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $598 −$331 -55%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $576 +$161 +28%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $937 +$498 +53%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,882 +$320 +17%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $73 +$101 +138%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $232 −$9 -4%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $327 −$182 -56%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,379 −$1,646 -69%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,547 +$132 +8%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $394 +$14 +4%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $226 +$53 +24%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $412 −$377 -92%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $281 +$45 +16%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,441 +$410 +28%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $294 −$101 -34%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $19 −$14 -74%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $1,854 −$1,663 -90%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $88 −$33 -37%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Ame Jun 11 $58 +$7 +11%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 −$5 -49%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $686 −$629 -92%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $21 −$4 -18%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2,518 +$602 +24%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $45 −$35 -78%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$5,131
other 1% −$619
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY WLGaming Esports 6¢ $1 1m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY WLGaming Esports 6¢ $1 1m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 74¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $6 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 88¢ $745 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 73¢ $15 2m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 87¢ $736 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)+19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 +31.6% +19.0% 41% 35% -9.6%
≤30d 69 +31.6% +19.0% 41% 35% -9.6%
≤90d 69 +31.6% +19.0% 41% 35% -9.6%
all 69 +31.6% +19.0% 41% 35% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3304.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +19.0% 35% -9.6%
10% +7.6% 28% -18.3%
15% ← realistic here -2.8% 19% -26.2%
20% -12.3% 12% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12,665.02 · official $12,665.02 (match) · 3500 history records