Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:46:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

47
0x4710…6127
crypto · 1119 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$441 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$441 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$441
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses698 / 421
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1119 / 1119
History coverage60d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day33.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1119 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$77
7 days+$92
14 days+$15
30 days−$183
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$14 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$6 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $28 +$20 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $27 +$19 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$10 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $36 +$28 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$9 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$12 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$12 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$7 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$6 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$11 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$11 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 08 $14 +$11 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 08 $10 +$9 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 08 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 08 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 08 $51 +$35 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 08 $15 +$10 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 08 $15 +$11 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$4 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$5 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$4 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$441
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $11 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $7 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $7 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $7 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $11 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $29 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $12 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $15 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $11 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $15 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $16 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $45 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $15 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $11 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $25 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $16 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $28 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $16 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $27 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 164 +1.3% -8.3% 60% 60% -2.7%
≤30d 765 -0.7% -10.2% 58% 57% -12.0%
≤90d 1119 -1.6% -11.0% 62% 60% -13.5%
all 1119 -1.6% -11.0% 62% 60% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 60% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 53% -21.7%
15% -27.3% 43% -29.3%
20% -34.4% 30% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2987 history records