Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:36:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

47
0x4705…d03e
crypto · 66 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$739 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$704 · open −$35
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$143
Realized−$704
Unrealized−$35
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses27 / 37
Whale WR (big bets)25%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)64 / 66
History coverage3d
Avg bet$377
Trades / day1028.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$310
7 days−$704
14 days−$704
30 days−$704
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $53 $60 +$7 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 63¢ 57¢ $58 $52 −$5 (-9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 42¢ 42¢ $29 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $36 $1 −$35 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $76 +$42 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $758 −$99 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $615 −$89 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $508 +$35 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $815 −$101 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1,012 −$120 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $595 +$251 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $293 +$8 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $393 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $514 −$21 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $170 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $448 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $384 −$27 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $385 −$36 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$10 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $709 −$137 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $174 −$13 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $351 −$33 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $310 +$12 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $193 −$33 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $807 −$371 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $390 −$7 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $617 +$160 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $567 +$30 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $384 +$49 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $33 +$27 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 10 $320 −$87 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $295 −$23 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $250 −$27 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $491 −$18 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $237 +$33 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $596 −$39 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $650 −$12 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $151 +$23 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $300 +$19 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $756 −$33 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $206 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $354 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $268 +$20 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 10 $176 −$14 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 09 $710 −$29 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $348 −$30 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 09 $165 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 09 $121 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 09 $514 −$25 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 09 $283 −$36 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 09 $210 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 09 $755 −$75 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 09 $214 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 09 $334 −$3 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$739
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $0 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 +1.0% -8.6% 42% 16% -12.1%
≤30d 64 +1.0% -8.6% 42% 16% -12.1%
≤90d 64 +1.0% -8.6% 42% 16% -12.1%
all 64 +1.0% -8.6% 42% 16% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1028.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 16% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 8% -20.5%
15% -25.3% 6% -28.2%
20% -32.6% 5% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $143.08 · official $161.88 · 3500 history records