Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:58:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x46fb…1c9a
crypto · 581 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,524 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,536 · open +$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$47
Realized−$1,536
Unrealized+$12
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses224 / 355
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions2
Markets (closed)579 / 581
History coverage56d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day51.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 579 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$127
7 days−$177
14 days−$174
30 days−$587
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 25¢ 78¢ $15 $47 +$32 (+214%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 4¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$13 -96%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $8 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$5 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$12 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$23 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$6 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$6 +191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$9 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$9 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$10 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$5 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$19 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $38 $0 +0%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $15 +$34 +224%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$1,389
sports 8% −$114
other 0% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 20¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 9m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $5 9m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $0 9m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $0 9m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $0 9m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $0 9m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $0 9m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $0 9m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $0 9m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $0 9m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 30¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 15m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Team WE 5¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 16m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Team WE 5¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 17m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Team WE 5¢ $1 17m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Team WE 5¢ $2 17m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -15.5% -23.6% 39% 31% -23.7%
≤30d 264 -12.2% -20.5% 39% 36% -21.6%
≤90d 579 -11.4% -19.9% 39% 36% -18.4%
all 579 -11.4% -19.9% 39% 36% -18.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.9% 36% -18.4%
10% ← realistic here -27.5% 33% -26.2%
15% -34.5% 30% -33.3%
20% -40.9% 26% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47.38 · official $47.38 (match) · 3322 history records