Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:18:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x46f0…8e2e
crypto · 316 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$1,200 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$972 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$972
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses168 / 148
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$82
Open positions0
Markets (closed)316 / 316
History coverage662d
Avg bet$137
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 316 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$306
7 days−$78
14 days−$84
30 days−$57
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $31 −$16 -52%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $41 +$19 +47%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $286 −$276 -97%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $1,715 −$166 -10%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $137 −$29 -21%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $588 +$59 +10%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $485 +$104 +21%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $121 +$88 +72%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $113 −$33 -29%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $106 +$67 +63%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $83 +$4 +5%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $54 +$29 +53%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $83 +$95 +115%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $44 −$2 -4%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $23 +$1 +5%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $19 +$4 +19%
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 05 $29 −$10 -34%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winner May 17 $3 +$1 +29%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Play May 16 $10 −$7 -67%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $146 +$33 +22%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A May 13 $79 −$79 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A May 13 $166 −$68 -41%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner May 13 $61 −$61 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Regular Season May 12 $86 +$46 +54%
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $19 +$27 +141%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A Apr 30 $112 −$105 -93%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26? Apr 26 $108 +$132 +122%
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Season Apr 21 $83 −$83 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? Apr 16 $81 −$81 -100%
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-04-12? Apr 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playof Apr 10 $100 −$53 -53%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoff Apr 10 $70 −$70 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Apr 09 $91 +$48 +52%
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5) Apr 08 $40 +$57 +143%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-08? Apr 08 $216 +$135 +62%
Will Trabzonspor vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? Apr 05 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-04? Apr 04 $120 −$97 -81%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31? Mar 31 $121 +$105 +88%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26? Mar 26 $250 +$26 +10%
Iran Nuke before 2027? Mar 25 $307 −$63 -20%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18? Mar 23 $51 −$33 -65%
Iran leadership change by March 31? Mar 14 $652 −$74 -11%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10? Mar 10 $46 +$118 +258%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Mar 06 $29 −$16 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12PM ET Mar 06 $38 +$13 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Mar 06 $38 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Mar 06 $88 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Mar 06 $79 +$8 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Mar 06 $163 +$6 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 51% +$179
other 14% +$204
world 14% +$284
sports 13% −$481
politics 7% +$696
tech 0% +$90
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 10¢ $15 57m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $26 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 56¢ $60 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 37¢ $41 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $9 11h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $286 15h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 67¢ $393 18h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 68¢ $393 18h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 25¢ $149 19h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 23¢ $15 20h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 95¢ $135 20h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 76¢ $159 20h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 30¢ $159 20h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 49¢ $267 20h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 32¢ $268 20h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 68¢ $100 21h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 92¢ $647 21h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 92¢ $8 22h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 92¢ $639 22h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 83¢ $588 22h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 100¢ $588 44h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 68¢ $100 47h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 87¢ $166 47h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $219 2d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 29¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 32¢ $15 2d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 41¢ $36 2d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 55¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 56¢ $62 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +4.9% -5.1% 53% 40% -11.3%
≤30d 21 +2.2% -7.5% 57% 43% -10.8%
≤90d 42 -8.0% -16.7% 48% 38% -14.1%
all 316 -1.9% -11.2% 53% 40% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.2% 40% -7.5%
10% -19.7% 32% -16.3%
15% -27.5% 24% -24.4%
20% -34.6% 18% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1159 history records