Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:13:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

46
0x46e7…c9e4
sports · 2374 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,942 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,982 · open +$41
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$66
Realized−$1,982
Unrealized+$41
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses594 / 1863
Est. fees paid−$71
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2457 / 2374
History coverage131d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day24.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 2 History 2457 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$985
7 days−$985
14 days−$937
30 days−$868
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 100¢ $20 $65 +$45 (+226%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-94%)
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Austin: Kaja Juvan vs McCartney Kessler Kaja Juvan 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Stars vs. Ducks Stars 16¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-02-08? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Antalya 2: Alina Charaeva vs Polina Kudermetova Alina Charaeva 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Zamalek SC vs. Petrojet SC: Both Teams to Score Yes 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Valencia CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Avalanche vs. Jets Avalanche 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Janice Tjen Tjen 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Hailey Baptiste Samsonova 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: Both Teams to Score Yes 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will CF Pachuca vs. Atlas FC end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-02-27? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Devils vs. Stars Stars 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-01-31? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-02-24? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
World Championships: Austria vs. Germany Austria 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stars vs. Ducks Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Zamalek SC vs. Petrojet SC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-01-31? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruud Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-21? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw? Jun 12 $8 +$16 +205%
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-22? Jun 12 $6 +$5 +79%
Nigeria vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $140 −$140 -100%
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ducks vs. Canucks Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will UD Las Palmas vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Palermo FC win on 2026-01-24? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 2) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open, Qualification: Ellen Perez vs Oksana Selekhme Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Modena FC 2018 vs. Palermo FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-16? Jun 12 $5 +$4 +89%
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-01-28? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Stars vs. Blues Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Stars vs. Kings Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Lada Togliatti Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bryant Bulldogs vs. NJIT Highlanders Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 1) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Karlsruher SC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Hobart International: Tatjana Maria vs Venus Williams Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Sharks vs. Canucks Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Capitals vs. Oilers Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Wild vs. Oilers Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Malmö FF win on 2026-01-22? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-01-19? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Canucks vs. Blue Jackets Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-30? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-24? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp end in a draw? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Lightning vs. Stars Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-29? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
FC Midtjylland vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-25? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 72% −$589
other 25% −$299
crypto 3% −$21
world 0% −$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 27m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $10 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $10 1h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $20 19h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 52¢ $10 19h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 43¢ $10 20h
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 17¢ $5 2d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Golden Knights 22¢ $10 2d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Hurricanes 7¢ $5 5d
Will Nicaragua win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 6d
Will Haiti vs. Peru end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $2 6d
Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 7d
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 7¢ $2 7d
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 41¢ $5 7d
Will Sweden vs. Greece end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 8d
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 41¢ $10 9d
Will United States vs. Senegal end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $5 12d
Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 12d
Will Poland vs. Ukraine end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $3 12d
Will Czechia vs. Kosovo end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 12d
Will Switzerland vs. Jordan end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 12d
Will Jordan win on 2026-05-31? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 12d
Will Serbia win on 2026-05-31? BUY Yes 43¢ $5 12d
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 12d
Will Mexico vs. Australia end in a draw? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 12d
Will Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 12d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? SELL Yes 62¢ $61 13d
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys BUY Madison Keys 51¢ $5 13d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 22¢ $5 13d
AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 22¢ $2 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-21.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 -92.3% -93.1% 3% 3% -94.1%
≤30d 213 -40.5% -46.2% 18% 18% -62.4%
≤90d 1019 -18.4% -26.2% 24% 24% -21.6%
all 2457 -13.6% -21.8% 24% 24% -21.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.8% 24% -21.8%
10% ← realistic here -29.3% 24% -29.3%
15% -36.1% 24% -36.1%
20% -42.4% 23% -42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $65.54 · official $65.54 (match) · 3500 history records